LoL Horse Racing

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Player-Level XGBoost Model | Minor Leagues

Player-Level XGBoost Model

17 features | Player win-rate aggregation with position weighting

Value Bet Criteria

Edge Requirement:

Model probability - Market implied probability ≥ 8%

Odds Limit:

Market odds must be < 3.0 (implied prob > 33%)

Why these filters? Focus on high-confidence bets with reasonable odds. Avoids longshots where large edge % can be misleading.
Filter Games:
Click to auto-fill market odds from Polymarket
LCKCL
BO1
Model Odds (Player-Level Aggregation)
DRX Challengers
1.88
(53.2%)
VS
BNK FEARX Youth
2.14
(46.8%)
Market Odds
LCKCL
BO1
Model Odds (Player-Level Aggregation)
Dplus KIA Challengers
1.48
(67.8%)
VS
Hanwha Life Esports Challengers
3.10
(32.2%)
Market Odds

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Tier 2 Player-Level Model | XGBoost Regressor | 17 Features