LoL Horse Racing

Predictions Hub

Enhanced Model with Live Champion Selection | January 30, 2026

Pre-Prediction Readiness Checklist

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Model

40 features (23 team + 11 champion)

Test AUC: 0.6422 (64.2% ranking accuracy)

✨ Base odds shown below → Select champions to see updated odds!

📐 Model probabilities and odds reflect the series format (BO1/BO3/BO5) for accurate comparison with market odds.

Toggle affects pre-match base odds only. Live game predictions always use CatBoost Enhanced.

Value Bet Criteria

Pre-Match

Edge ≥ 8% AND market odds ≤ 3.0

Value bet requires both a meaningful edge and reasonable odds. Excludes longshots where model uncertainty is high.

How Edge Is Calculated

edge = CatBoost_prob - (1 / market_odds)

Locked to CatBoost model for consistency (regardless of toggle). Both CatBoost and Ensemble are logged for future ROI comparison.

Over 2.5 Bet Criteria (BO3 Only)

🎲 Trigger:

Only recommended when a value bet is detected on the match winner side.

📈 Rationale:

Upsets go to 3 games 65% of the time. When the model finds value on the underdog, pair with Over 2.5.

Click to load Polymarket reference odds & start times

Esports Pre-Market Input

Team A Team B Odds A Odds B Market A Market B Bet A ($) Bet B ($) O2.5 Odds U2.5 Odds Bet O/U ($)
LPL ALGD Gaming v BOh My God - -
LPL ABilibili Gaming v BWeibo Gaming - -
LEC AKarmine Corp Blue v BFnatic - - - - -
LEC ASK Gaming v BGIANTX - - - - -
LEC ANatus Vincere v BLos Ratones - - - - -
LEC ATeam Vitality v BG2 Esports - - - - -
LEC ATeam Heretics v BMovistar KOI - - - - -
LEC AShifters v BKarmine Corp - - - - -
🎯 Filter Games:
LPL
BO3
📊 Base Odds (Pre-Draft - Team Features Only)
LGD Gaming
-
(-)
VS
Oh My God
-
(-)
📈 Recent Form (Last 10 Matches)
LGD Gaming
L W L L W L L W W L
4W 6L
Oh My God
L L L W L W L L W
3W 6L
💰 Pre-Match Market Odds (Before Match Starts)
Over/Under 2.5 Games
Enter market odds above to see recommendation

🎮 Live Betting - Game by Game (BO3)

Select champions for each game and enter live betting odds

Game 1

Game 2

Game 3

LPL
BO3
📊 Base Odds (Pre-Draft - Team Features Only)
Bilibili Gaming
-
(-)
VS
Weibo Gaming
-
(-)
📈 Recent Form (Last 10 Matches)
Bilibili Gaming
W W W L L L W L W W
6W 4L
Weibo Gaming
L L W W W L W W L W
6W 4L
💰 Pre-Match Market Odds (Before Match Starts)
Over/Under 2.5 Games
Enter market odds above to see recommendation

🎮 Live Betting - Game by Game (BO3)

Select champions for each game and enter live betting odds

Game 1

Game 2

Game 3

LEC
BO1
📊 Base Odds (Pre-Draft - Team Features Only)
Karmine Corp Blue
-
(-)
VS
Fnatic
-
(-)
📈 Recent Form (Last 10 Matches)
Karmine Corp Blue
L W L L L L L L
1W 7L
Fnatic
W L W L W L W W L L
5W 5L
💰 Pre-Match Market Odds (Before Match Starts)

🎮 Live Betting - Game by Game (BO1)

Select champions for each game and enter live betting odds

Game 1

LEC
BO1
📊 Base Odds (Pre-Draft - Team Features Only)
SK Gaming
-
(-)
VS
GIANTX
-
(-)
📈 Recent Form (Last 10 Matches)
SK Gaming
L L L W L L L W W L
3W 7L
GIANTX
L L W W L W L W W L
5W 5L
💰 Pre-Match Market Odds (Before Match Starts)

🎮 Live Betting - Game by Game (BO1)

Select champions for each game and enter live betting odds

Game 1

LEC
BO1
📊 Base Odds (Pre-Draft - Team Features Only)
Natus Vincere
-
(-)
VS
Los Ratones
-
(-)
📈 Recent Form (Last 10 Matches)
Natus Vincere
L L W W L W W L L W
5W 5L
Los Ratones
L L L L W W W W
4W 4L
💰 Pre-Match Market Odds (Before Match Starts)

🎮 Live Betting - Game by Game (BO1)

Select champions for each game and enter live betting odds

Game 1

LEC
BO1
📊 Base Odds (Pre-Draft - Team Features Only)
Team Vitality
-
(-)
VS
G2 Esports
-
(-)
📈 Recent Form (Last 10 Matches)
Team Vitality
L L W L W L W L W W
5W 5L
G2 Esports
L L L L W W L W W L
4W 6L
💰 Pre-Match Market Odds (Before Match Starts)

🎮 Live Betting - Game by Game (BO1)

Select champions for each game and enter live betting odds

Game 1

LEC
BO1
📊 Base Odds (Pre-Draft - Team Features Only)
Team Heretics
-
(-)
VS
Movistar KOI
-
(-)
📈 Recent Form (Last 10 Matches)
Team Heretics
W L L L W W L L L W
4W 6L
Movistar KOI
L L W W L W W L L W
5W 5L
💰 Pre-Match Market Odds (Before Match Starts)

🎮 Live Betting - Game by Game (BO1)

Select champions for each game and enter live betting odds

Game 1

LEC
BO1
📊 Base Odds (Pre-Draft - Team Features Only)
Shifters
-
(-)
VS
Karmine Corp
-
(-)
📈 Recent Form (Last 10 Matches)
Shifters
L W W L L L W L
3W 5L
Karmine Corp
L L W L W W W W L W
6W 4L
💰 Pre-Match Market Odds (Before Match Starts)

🎮 Live Betting - Game by Game (BO1)

Select champions for each game and enter live betting odds

Game 1

Enter Match Results

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PnL Calendar

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Prediction History

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Daily Pipeline

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Enhanced Model | 28 Features | Test AUC: 0.6422